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The Undirected Society (Vickers, 1959)
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Essays on the human implications of industrialization in Canada
 
Geoffrey Vickers speaks of his purpose in writing this book:
 
"In 1955 I was setting to work on a study of collective decision-making when I received an invitation to act as consultant to a project, organized by the School of Social Work of the University of Toronto, to explore the impact of Canada's rapid industrialization on the well-being of the individual. For the next three years this project occupied much of my time and thought; and ideas which would otherwise have received a more systematic form took shape in the contributions to that project which make up the substance of this book."
 
[JLJ - Geoffrey Vickers' first published work - we see the seeds of ideas that would be more completely developed in later works.
 
Vickers explores the impact and consequences of industrialization in post WWII Canada and touches on multiple themes which are useful for game theory. We observe that Vickers relies on his experience with solving problems in the real world in his profession as a lawyer, and he begins his efforts with an appreciation of the situation at hand. His unique approach is useful as a template for any kind of problem, including how to manage exploration efforts and directing the attention of a machine playing a game (such as chess).
 
Approaches like this one should be evaluated with the question, "Will they work?" rather than through scientific or mathematical proofs, which often fail when predicting the behavior of complex adaptive systems and most creative behavior, in general.
 
Vickers' wisdom is useful for approaching any problem - we concern ourself (at a high level) with the essential relations that are to be maintained (E), the regulation of these properties (R), and the behavior (B) that results from this process.
 
Vickers' approach is simple and intuitive and might leave the reader thinking, "why didn't I think of that?", however, we must strategically approach these issues in the face of uncertainty and resistance, and our efforts must address our resilience towards the expected as well as the unexpected. What levers will we use to make change happen, and how will we manage that which (inevitably) will emerge and attempt to resist our efforts?]

p.14 What do you regard as the conditions of well-being? Are they constant or do they vary?
 
p.15 Industrialization bears man along on a torrent of sequential events, which work incessant and irreversible change... The impact of industrialization depends in part on the forces which drive it, still more on how and how far these forces are controlled... Industrial development has shown itself everywhere to be a vastly de-stabilizing force.
 
p.28 The more rapid the rate of change, the harder it is for any of us to furnish ourselves with an effective set of expectations for the future and the less likely that any two of us will hold the same set.
 
p.32 conceived as dynamic balance, stability is a condition of all development and indeed of all the activity of living things; for in the world of life, a world essentially dynamic, stability can be nothing but dynamic balance... Conceived as dynamic balance, the concept of stability is the governing concept of our age.
 
p.36 The decision that at a given moment this, rather than that, shall have priority, is an act of valuation, which must be explained in terms of human nature, as well as in terms of history.
 
p.41 The criteria we actually use in matters of human well-being are of three main kinds. I will call them standards of behaviour, standards of need and standards of "want."
 
p.42 we have and use a number of notions about what human beings need; and if we see that they lack some condition which we think is essential... we judge their state to be one of ill-being, irrespective of their behaviour. Alternatively - or in addition -  we may suppose that what people want has some relation to what they need and we may measure their ill-being or well-being by the gap which separates their wants from their satisfactions.
 
p.43 These criteria of need, like the criteria of behaviour, are sometimes expressed positively as norms to be sought and held, sometimes negatively as thresholds of danger to be avoided.
 
p.44 We are moved to action, on the other hand, by wants and notwants, which in turn throw up objectives which we pursue and the threats which we elude. These wants and notwants, however they arise, serve our needs with a double margin of error; for our wants do not necessarily satisfy our needs nor do our objectives necessarily satisfy our wants.
 
p.46-47 The governors of behaviour are not goals to be attained or dangers to be avoided once for all. They are continuing relationships which can only be maintained by continuous seeking and thresholds beyond which such relationships must not be allowed to stray... I call such governing relationships norms when they are positive and limits when they are negative, to distinguish them from goals which can be attained once for all; and such goals I call objectives... Specific objectives are a necessary link in the chain which leads to action... It remains true that no attainable "objective" can be more than the means to attain a norm or to escape a threshold... The immediate objective in each instance is only a segment of an activity which has to be infinitely extended in time in order to maintain with our environment some continuing relationship which has become established as a norm... We cannot make sense of any human behaviour unless we identify, behind the objective, the continuing need which it is supposed to serve. And this need is always to establish or maintain, to break or avoid a relationship between the self and some aspect of the environment, physical or social... It is equally true, I think, of intellectual and aesthetic pursuits.
 
p.55 the key to well-being lies more in the design of our aspirations than in the devising of means to satisfy them
 
p.73 the character of a man or a society is revealed largely by the way in which competing claims for action are resolved. What is noticed and what is ignored, what comes first and what takes place second, what responses are tried first and what responses are never envisaged
 
p.77 There must be room for the deviant, for every faith begins as a heresy. On the other hand, there must be an orthodoxy to deviate from.
 
p.78 effective action depends on information flowing back to the action-centre quickly enough to guide future action.
 
p.79 The kinds of policy which emerges from a battle of interests depends not merely on their relative strength but on the extent to which they share, however unconsciously, a common sense of responsibility for preserving the coherence of the whole through time.
 
p.80-81 all action and all thought directed to action takes place within some phase... of which time is an inescapable dimension; and within any such situation judgments of value... are essentially judgments of priority, judgments about what matters most at the time... Regarding these changes which concern us, there are three kinds of question which we must answer... We need first to know better how these changes happen and what is and might be the scope of our influence over them... We need next to know better the effect on us of these changes; in other words, the cost to us of what we cause or allow to happen to us. This involves a deeper knowledge of the real significance of those impacts on us... Finally, we shall still be seeking the answer to the question, "In these circumstances of space and time, what matters most?"
 
p.91 I will not attempt to list even the major norms and limits comprised in Canada's [essential relations to be maintained] today. They include security from attack from outside and from subversion within; minimum subsistence for all; certain freedoms, including the freedom to undertake and leave any work (and correspondingly, to "hire and fire"); equality of certain opportunities, including opportunities for employment and for business enterprise; a continually rising standard of living; and minimal taxation, government activity and state control. All these define relationships not necessarily consistent with one another; and the course of legislation and of business and social activity reflects the seeking and shunning of whichever of these norms and limits has succeeded for the moment in winning attention.
 
p.92-93 What is the regulating process... which continually adjusts behaviour (B) so as to preserve E [essential relations to be maintained]; and equally adjusts E so as to keep B's task within the limits of the possible? [JLJ - this is in a nutshell, the essence of the problem of directing search and exploration efforts in playing a game.] ...We must credit R [the regulation process] with at least three major functions. It must be able to receive information about how things are going in relation to how they should be going to maintain E; and it must be able to send signals to initiate behaviour which will affect the course of events in the interests of E. And between these two functions... we must posit the all-important function of selecting what to do out of the limited number of behaviours which are possible in the circumstances.
 
p.94-95 It is useful, therefore, to distinguish signals which compel action from those which merely invite it, a distinction which runs closely parallel to the distinction between urgency and importance.
  Clearly, a modern society would not hold together for a year if R did not begin to work until it received signals of incipient breakdown. These signals are supplemented in varying degrees by prediction... R receives warning that something different is required of it from signals consisting either of breakdown or of forecasted breakdown... The problem for R is to choose a way of behaving which will neutralize the disturbance threatening the maintenance of E... Success means initiating behaviour which will reduce the deviation between the actual course of affairs and the course which would be consonant [JLJ - in harmony with] with E; or at least will prevent its nearer approach to the limit of the unacceptable or the disastrous.
 
p.96-97 Systems are said to be error-controlled when the results of their behaviour return to them as a signal to control their subsequent behaviour... In so far as we can compare what is happening with what ought to be happening... we are kept informed of what is going wrong and perhaps of the rate and direction in which it is going wrong. Control by error in this sense is valuable and not uncommon.
 
p.98 Control by error enables us to compare the way things are going with the way we want them to go... To select a behaviour because it is likely to have a foreseen and desired result is to be controlled by purpose.
 
p.103 Suppose a very simple system. Its essential relations (E) are coherent and fixed; so are the limits within which the system can deviate from them without suffering irreversible change. Its repertory of behaviour (B) is also fixed. Its problem is so to behave as to keep within the limits of E... Such problems, however complex, could at least in theory be programmed for and solved by a computer. [JLJ - a great idea with applications for game theory.]
 
p.104 At the simplest organic level adaptation means directing behaviour so as to keep within acceptable limits the relationships which are essential to the system... It is a task of regulation.
 
p.105 The resolving of conflict, exceptional in most creatures, is man's most constant and familiar activity. This is what decision means.
 
p.109 I have distinguished three functions: norm-setting, by which I mean the evolution of those positive and negative governors of behaviour which we seek to follow (E) [essential relations to be maintained]; regulation, in which I include all devices (R) by which we direct our behaviour so as to follow them; and valuation, which I reserve for the resolution of conflict.
 
p.111 The decisions which men and societies are always taking and through which they exercise whatever influence they have over the course of history are... decisions about what matters most in given circumstances of time and place.
 
p.116 As the volume of disturbance approaches the limit of the system's adaptability, the first result is a general sense of stress... Unless foreseen, the signal for action takes the form of some specific breakdown. Some customary response is found to be no longer available. The regulative mechanisms become fully occupied with the short term at the expense of the long term, with the urgent at the expense of the important... Unless the disturbance can be neutralized without causing another at least as bad, the gap between what is achieved and what is called for... will sharply widen.
 
p.123 when all is said, the limitation of the source of disturbance is bound to be of ever greater importance among the means of dealing with it.
 
p.126-127 The present and the immediate past do not provide evidence from which the future can be predicted... We can only forecast its results by deepening our understanding of the systems... which its impact disturbs, of the ways in which such systems are bound to respond, and of the extent to which they are free to choose between these ways of responding. Our understanding of these processes forms the essential background to any discussion
 
p.131 The economic conditions of well-being have long been known as freedom from want.
 
p.138 The economic man is supposed to know what he wants. The job of economics is to show him how to maximize his satisfactions.

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