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Harvard Business Review on Decision Making (Drucker, Hammond, Keeney, Raiffa, 2001)

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The Harvard Business Review Paperback Series is designed to bring today's managers and professionals the fundamental information they need to stay competitive in a fast-moving world. From the preeminent thinkers whose work has defined an entire field to the rising stars who will redefine the way we think about business, here are the leading minds and landmark ideas that have established the Harvard Business Review as required reading for ambitious businesspeople in organizations around the globe. Harvard Business Review on Decision Making will help people at all levels understand the fundamental theories and practices of effective decision making so that they can make better decisions in their personal and professional lives.

Book Info
Professional and managerial guide to decision making, with a collection of articles on the subject from leading business scholars. Topics covered include traps in decision making, problem analysis, the effective decision, and humble decision making. Softcover. DLC: Decision making.

p.22, 24, 25 Making wise trade-offs is one of the most important and difficult challenges in decision making. The more alternatives you're considering and the more objectives you're pursuing, the more trade-offs you'll need to make... Before you can begin making trade-offs, you need to have a clear picture of all your alternatives and their consequences for each of your objectives... Once you've defined and mapped the consequences of each alternative, you should always look for opportunities to eliminate one or more of the alternatives. The fewer the alternatives, the fewer trade-offs you'll ultimately need to make.
 
p.54 Focused trial and error is probably the most widely used procedure for adapting to partial knowledge. It has two parts: knowing where to start the search for an effective intervention, and checking outcomes at intervals to adjust and modify the intervention... Focused trial and error assumes that there is important information that the executive does not have and must proceed without... [it is] feeling one's way to an effective course of action despite the lack of essential chunks of data. It is an adaptive, not a rationalistic, strategy.
 
p.144-145 Researchers have been studying the way our minds function in making decisions for half a century. This research, in the laboratory and in the field, has revealed that we use unconscious routines to cope with the complexity inherent in most decisions. These routines, known as heuristics, serve us well in most situations.

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