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The Concept of Indeterminism and its Applications (Katsenelinboigen, 1997)

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Scholars in various fields are exploring similar ideas to combat indeterminism when conditions are chaotic and prohibit the use of a rigid program approach, even with probabilities. Many do not realize that they are dealing with the same issues that appear between chaos and full order (or stochastic processes) in a phase that lends itself to the same formal treatment. Examples are observed in the development of social systems, in the evaluation of the performance of a corporation or a position in chess, in the perception of artworks. Conceptualization of this treatment requires a better understanding of the category of indeterminism. Confirmation of this is the absence of separation between indeterminism and, especially, uncertainty. One indirect confirmation of this is the lack of a developed concept of the degree of indeterminism. The author contends that the category of indeterminism has its own meaning dealing with unavoidability. There are several phases in the spectrum of measurement of indeterminism, among which is a phase--a key phase of this book--which requires the introduction of the category of predisposition and a corresponding calculus of predisposition. By means of the aesthetic method, the degree of beauty (ugliness) measures "perception" by the given subject of the predisposition for development of "observable" objects.

5.0 out of 5 stars Inspiring, February 12, 2003
By  Denis Benchimol Minev "Amazonia" (Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil)
   
I found this book inspiring. It develops on the concept of "predispositioning", taking it from the initial development in chess, to all aspects of life. Predisposition is a concept that can be used as a guide to life, as the author presents cases in which he used it to improve his position (an analogy to chess).
   
5.0 out of 5 stars Brilliant book!, March 27, 1999
By A Customer
The book brilliantly extrapolates from the premise of chaos theory and indeterminism. A great work!!

p.30 From the functional perspective, the concept of predisposition parallels that of adaption: in both cases, the key task is not so much to forecast the future, but to prepare for an unknown future. In this context, adaptation implies passive adjustment of a system to a turbulent environment. On the other hand, the creation of predispositions presumes an active interaction with the environment (in effect, shaping the environment). This subtle point informs the structural difference between the two concepts. Under adaptation, the structure of a system is based primarily on versatile essentials; that is, flexible elements and methods of their transformation, which allows that system to switch (adjust) from one set of circumstances to another. In forming predisposition, the essentials are treated holistically (in totality), which calls for the introduction of relational parameters that describe the state of the system.
 
p.48 In actuality chess is a mixture of deterministic and indeterministic methods of play with the latter predominating... The key component of any indeterministic procedure is the evaluation of a position. Since it is impossible to devise a deterministic chain linking the intermediate state with the outcome of the game, the most complex component of any indeterministic method is assessing these intermediate stages. It is precisely the function of predispositions to assess the impact of an intermediate state upon the future course of development.
 
p.49 To sum up, whatever method of play is selected, the key ingredient is the valuation of the position. As Alexander Lysenko (1990) mentioned, William Steinitz's great feat was to conceptualize the key role of positional evaluation... The formation of a position as a "fundamental and universal principle may be encapsulated into the following dictum: a superior plan is invariably based on positional valuation. To evaluate, to judge, to assess is certainly not synonymous with exact knowledge. But an estimate, a judgment, or an evaluation, though not precise, is, according to the principles laid down by Steinitz, still an effective guide for the master" (p. 190).
 
p.50 We still have not devised an algorithm-based formation of the wide spectrum of parameters and their valuations included in the weight function, that is, a formal link between the various methods of positional valuation and actual game strategy.
 
p.55 There is no known deductive theory to construct positional parameters or their valuations - a task performed by the intuition of chess players.
  The set of positional parameters is very diverse; it includes parameters pertaining to pawn structure (doubled pawns, backward pawn, isolated pawn, pawn chain, etc.); to the relationship between a piece and some part of the board (rook on an open file, bishop on an open diagonal, etc.); to piece interaction (two bishops, bishop and knight, variety of pieces on the board, etc) and to many other types of structures.
   One of the most intriguing and difficult issues is to establish relative total value of positional parameters to material (the latter is considered decisive).
 
p.59 The crux of the proposed algorithm [by Botvinnik] is to define the most effective trajectories for the pieces partaking in the attainment of the set goal... The passage below sheds some light on Botvinnik's philosophy of chess as manifest in the Pioneer chess program [from Botvinnik, Analytical and Critical Works, 1987]:
 
Over the last 25 years I worked on the problem of an "artificial chess master." I have come to the conclusion that the key component of such an algorithm is positional analysis incorporated into the weight function. This function allows the master to select high priority moves to be included in the search, to determine when to terminate the search, and to evaluate positions at the end of the search - in other words to select a move.
   I believe grandmaster approach is based on three factors:
 
1. The balance of material available to each player...
 
2. Expectation of material gains...
 
3. Purely positional factor (p): control over certain squares of the board and traversability of the trajectories leading to an attack of the opponents pieces (p.255)
 
p.60 Perhaps one reason for Botvinnik's failure to develop such an algorithm was his neglect for the overall positional valuation, which embodies positional parameters pertaining to the position as a whole rather than to the individual pieces... Perhaps, the main reason for Botvinnik's lack of success was his infatuation with one single method rather than a strategy based on the synthesis of diverse methods of play. If so, it is all the more important not to discard Botvinnik's results in developing an algorithm based primarily on combinatorial style, but to integrate it with other methods.
 
p.61 To conclude my brief excursion into Botvinnik's approach, I believe that in general, the author's mindset exerts a strong influence upon the methods he proposes. Of course, we need to qualify the statement, for the long chain linking the author's mental attitudes and his scholarly output is mediated by numerous intermediate steps. However, one key intermediate stage is the development of heuristic principles, which is particularly crucial in developing innovative solutions.
 
p.66 Key to strategic positional play is some global action, such as an attack against the opponent's king or building up a position ripe for such an attack. This action governs a plan, which incorporates intermediate tasks and respective goals. these goals define certain positional features, which are composed to a varying degree... In effect, the formulation of intermediate tasks defines tactical aims with goals represented by dominant positional parameters... the strategic positional play merges strategy and tactics.
 
p.67 As Bronstein (1981) notes, unlike the combinational style, the comprehensive positional style allows "the creation of long-range plans which do not have to take all the possible variations into account" (p. 176).
 
p.69 It seems that the most promising avenue of development of computer chess engenders the synthesis of the various styles discussed above [JLJ - combinational style, defensive techniques, positional style]. Perhaps, the initial version of such a synthetic program would fuse reactive method (particularly in the openings), optimization techniques (especially, in the endgame), and positional style based on strategic planning.[24] We can then complement this amalgam with the combinational techniques, which can be viewed as a particular case of the positional style. If no combination can be defined and no intermediate positional goals are apparent, the program may employ the incremental step-by-step positional method.
 
p.69 My principle thesis regarding positional valuations is the following: while the set of material parameters and their valuations (particularly semiconditional ones) can be unified and objectivized, the set of positional parameters and their valuations is basically individualized and subjective.
 
p.71 The choice of positional parameters and the creation of new ones reflects one's personal style of play... There exists no complete (particularly no deductive) program to devise positional parameters

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