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Resilience and the Behavior of Large-Scale Systems (Gunderson, Pritchard, 2002)
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Resilience in Man and Machine

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Scientists and researchers concerned with the behavior of large ecosystems have focused in recent years on the concept of "resilience." Traditional perspectives held that ecological systems exist close to a steady state and resilience is the ability of the system to return rapidly to that state following perturbation. However beginning with the work of C. S. Holling in the early 1970s, researchers began to look at conditions far from the steady state where instabilities can cause a system to shift into an entirely different regime of behavior, and where resilience is measured by the magnitude of disturbance that can be absorbed before the system is restructured.

Resilience and the Behavior of Large-Scale Systems examines theories of resilience and change, offering readers a thorough understanding of how the properties of ecological resilience and human adaptability interact in complex, regional-scale systems. The book addresses the theoretical concepts of resilience and stability in large-scale ecosystems as well as the empirical application of those concepts in a diverse set of cases. In addition, it discusses the practical implications of the new theoretical approaches and their role in the sustainability of human-modified ecosystems.

The book begins with a review of key properties of complex adaptive systems that contribute to overall resilience, including multiple equilibria, complexity, self-organization at multiple scales, and order; it also presents a set of mathematical metaphors to describe and deepen the reader's understanding of the ideas being discussed. Following the introduction are case studies that explore the biophysical dimensions of resilience in both terrestrial and aquatic systems and evaluate the propositions presented in the introductory chapters. The book concludes with a synthesis section that revisits propositions in light of the case studies, while an appendix presents a detailed account of the relationship between return times for a disturbed system and its resilience.

In addition to the editors, contributors include Stephen R. Carpenter, Carl Folke, C. S. Holling, Bengt-Owe Jansson, Donald Ludwig, Ariel Lugo, Tim R. McClanahan, Garry D. Peterson, and Brian H. Walker.

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p.6-7 Complex resource systems are organized from the interactions of a set of ecological, social, and economic systems across a range of scales. Resilience is central to understanding the dynamics of these systems and their vulnerability to various shocks and disruptions. Resilience measures the strength of mutual reinforcement between processes, incorporating both the ability of a system to persist despite disruptions and the ability to regenerate and maintain existing organization. Resilience allows the system to withstand the failure of management actions.
 
p.8 We propose that the behavior of complex adaptive systems depends upon four key properties: ecological resilience, complexity, self-organization, and order. As discussed above, resilience is the extent to which a system can withstand disruption before shifting into another state. Complexity is the variety of structures and processes that occur within a system. Self-organization is the ability of these structures and processes to mutually interact to reinforce and sustain each other. The process of self-organization produces order from disorder, but the interaction of processes across scales also destroys, and reconfigures, ecological organization, producing complex ecological dynamics.
 
p.9 Ecosystems are resilient when ecological interactions reinforce one another and dampen disruptions.
 
p.24 In order to understand complicated systems, it is often convenient to consider a simpler system that exhibits the type of behavior of interest... Some might argue that a principle of parsimony [JLJ - preference for the least complex explanation for an observation, parsimony is used as a heuristic (rule of thumb) to guide scientists in the development of theoretical models rather than as an arbiter between published models.] dictates that such models be used in the absence of strong evidence to the contrary.
 
p.44,47 Pimm (1991, p.13) defines resilience as "how fast a variable that has been displaced from equilibrium returns to it..." In summary, according to Pimm (1991) and according to us, long return times may be diagnostic for a loss of resilience... A long return time is due to disturbances that bring the system near an unstable equilibrium, or possibly to a weak repulsion from an unstable equilibrium.
 
p.52 In this volume, a resilient system is one that tends to maintain a given state when subject to disturbance
 
p.54 Collectively, these resilience mechanisms, operating at diverse scales, buffer... ecosystems against fluctuating inputs... Measurements and scientific analyses of perturbations or resilience are always tied to particular scales of space and time
 
p.150 Thus, information, key players, connectivity, and cooperative synergy are likely to be important elements, not only in the resilience of natural ecosystems, but also within human organizations.
 
p.166-167 To further highlight the differences between definitions of resilience and stability we'll use a heuristic model - that of a ball in a cup. Picture a ball or marble sitting in the bottom of a cup on a table (figure 6.2a). The ball is stable (it doesn't move) and its resting point is at an equilibrium created by a balance of the downward force of gravity and the upward force of the table and cup. If the cup is shaken, the ball will soon return to an equilibrium position. This physical model captures the essence of engineering resilience; a global equilibrium with resilience defined as the time taken for the ball to return to a stationary position.
  To understand ecological resilience we must change one ingredient of the model: the cup. In ecological resilience, the cup is not rigid, nor is there just one cup; there are multiple cups on the table (figure 6.2b), and the cups morph or change shape over time. In a landscape of multiple, morphing cups, a ball can easily move from one cup to another - change stability domains. Also, the changing landscape allows for a smaller disturbance to cause the ball to move among the cups. This is analogous to the loss of resilience in ecological systems. that is, the system is no longer capable of absorbing a disturbance, and so the disturbance suddenly flips the system into another stability domain. This property is known as adaptive capacity... Each of the pieces in the cup metaphor represents key variables that operate at different speeds... it is the dynamics of the slowly changing variables that interact with faster variables (disturbances, and other key structural elements) which define ecological resilience.
 
p.255-256 Carpenter and Cottingham (chapter 3), Carpenter et al. (1999), and Scheffer (1998) have used the heuristic of a ball and a cup to highlight differences between these types of resilience. The ball represents the system state and the cup represents the stability domain (figure 10.1). The ball sitting at the bottom of the cup depicts equilibrium. Disturbances (depicted by an arrow) move the marble to a transient position within the cup. Engineering resilience refers to characteristics of the shape of the cup - the slope of the sides dictate the return time of the ball to the bottom. Ecological resilience suggests that more than one cup exists, and the resilience is defined as the width at the top of the cup. Implicit in both of these definitions is the assumption that resilience is a static property of systems. That is, once defined, the shape of the remains fixed over time. However, the cases in this volume indicate that stability domains are dynamic and variable.
 
p.256-257 Many of the manifestations of human-induced changes in ecosystems result from alteration of the key variables that influence the underlying stability domains. The key variables that configure these stability domains change at relatively slow rates without human intervention and change at more rapid rates with human intervention... Using the ball-in-cup heuristic, the shape of the cup is subject to change, altering both stability (return time) and resilience (width of stability domain)... The property of an ecosystem that describes this change in stability landscapes and resilience is referred to as "adaptive capacity" (Peterson et al. 1998; Gunderson 2000)... The multiple meanings of resilience all relate to or are dependent upon a time domain. The first definition (Holling 1973) was based on system dynamics over time... the chapters by [other authors] introduce the spatial dimension of resilience.
 
p.257 Ecological resilience and adaptive capacity both suggest interactions across scales. One conclusion from these treatments is that resilience can only be discussed, analyzed, and measured across scale ranges (either in space or time or both).

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