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Intelligence in War (Keegan, 2003)
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John Keegan

p.326 War is the arena of chance; furthermore, nothing in war is simple.
 
p.334 All the cases studied in this book concern military intelligence in the strict sense: how the use of intelligence brought the enemy to battle on terms favorable to the intelligence victor... or spared the intelligence victor battle on unfavorable terms...; or else how the successful practice of intelligence nevertheless failed to avert an unfavorable outcome... Its purpose is to demonstrate that intelligence, however good, is not necessarily the means to victory; that, ultimately, it is force, not fraud or forethought, that counts.