Copyright (c) 2013 John L. Jerz

Another Bloody Century: Future Warfare (Gray, 2005)

Home
A Proposed Heuristic for a Computer Chess Program (John L. Jerz)
Problem Solving and the Gathering of Diagnostic Information (John L. Jerz)
A Concept of Strategy (John L. Jerz)
Books/Articles I am Reading
Quotes from References of Interest
Satire/ Play
Viva La Vida
Quotes on Thinking
Quotes on Planning
Quotes on Strategy
Quotes Concerning Problem Solving
Computer Chess
Chess Analysis
Early Computers/ New Computers
Problem Solving/ Creativity
Game Theory
Favorite Links
About Me
Additional Notes
The Case for Using Probabilistic Knowledge in a Computer Chess Program (John L. Jerz)
Resilience in Man and Machine

GrayABC.jpg

“For anyone serious about the dynamics of strategy, the risks of future conflict, and the variables impacting American defense policy, this book is simply indispensable.”  —Armed Services Journal

Product Description

Colin S. Gray has advised governments on both sides of the Atlantic about military affairs, and he looks into the future to provide some intriguing answers about the ways Western armed forces—which have traditionally been trained to fight conventional, not guerrilla, warfare—may have to evolve.

p.42 The pressing challenge is for us to anticipate the future as best as we are able in ways that reduce, hopefully minimize, the risk of our committing errors in prediction that are likely to have catastrophic consequences. The necessary skill is to pursue a strategy of minimum regret.
 
p.43 All warfare is a race between belligerents to correct the consequences of the mistaken beliefs with which they entered combat.
 
p.201 War is about control, as Rear Admiral J.C. Wylie explained with exceptional clarity... In the Admiral's words: 'the aim of war is some measure of control over the enemy'.
 
p.204 Colonel John Boyd, USAF, fighter pilot turned guru, applied his tactical knowledge of air combat to warfare at all levels by means of his simple formula of the 'OODA loop'.... The OODA loop is a formula for decisive success in a manoeuvrist style of warfare.
 
p.363-364 war is controlled by strategy... strategy is hard to do well... Strategy is about threatening or applying force purposefully for the ends set by policy... strategy is the vital controller of military behaviour. It should determine how much force to employ, as well as how to employ it... Strategy should always control the course of warfare
 
p.370 The future, of warfare or anything else, cannot be referenced directly. It has not happened.
 
p.371 maritime historian Geoffrey Till... advises that 'the chief utility of history for the analysis of present and future lies in its ability, not to point out lessons, but to isolate things that need thinking about... History provides insights and questions, not answers'... the future remains to be made, to be constructed by people, including by people in conflict who will strive to make a future that they prefer.

Enter supporting content here